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www.expresscomputeronline.com WEEKLY INSIGHT FOR TECHNOLOGY PROFESSIONALS
14 March 2005  
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Between the Bytes

Who’s afraid of the digital divide? - I

Val Souza

Is the digital divide, that alleged gaping chasm that separates the ‘technology haves’ from the ‘technology have-nots,’ a figment of the imagination of over-zealous academics and activists, sensationalist journalists and ill-informed policy-makers?

Just about a year prior to the turn of the century, the concept of the digital divide was dramatically catapulted onto the world stage with disturbingly striking statements such as: “80 percent of the world’s population have never made a phone call;” “There are more telephones in Manhattan than in all of rural Asia;” and “There are more Internet accounts in London than in all of Africa.” About almost the same time that the dotcom frenzy had reached its height, concern was also being expressed in different circles that the information revolution was in fact bypassing the vast majority of people inhabiting planet Earth.

The ‘digital divide’ was a term coined to describe the apparent disparity brought about by the rapid advancement of information and communication technologies (ICTs), accessible to and exploitable by only those who met most or all of very stringent criteria:

  • Relatively rich or based in a developed country
  • Educated
  • Reasonably adept at using modern-day electronic devices and computers
  • Culturally conditioned to blend into the lingua franca of the technological world (largely English-based and ‘westernised’).

Evidently then, the digital divide emanates from a complex combination of factors, and, when examined closely, can be broken up into several types. The first, and most obvious, is a digital divide which exists among the inhabitants of a country, between residents who are rich and educated, and those who are poorer and less educated. This applies to all countries, developing and developed alike.

Another digital divide stems from linguistic and cultural differences. It’s no secret that the Internet has a significant English-language bias, along with a predominantly Western flavour. English-language content accounts for almost three-fourths of the Web, and much of the remaining is either in a west European language, or in Japanese or Chinese. Further, most operating interfaces on personal computers also reflect similar biases. Thus, persons of other cultural and linguistic leanings find computer usage difficult or impossible, and, even when they do cross this barrier, discover that available Web content is culturally alien and practically useless to them. MIT professor and digital divide expert Kenneth Keniston attributes this anomaly to “Anglo-Saxon linguistic and cultural hegemony.”

Clubbed together, these two digital divides point to another obvious divide—that between rich and poor countries. And this divide keeps widening because ICTs are in themselves seen to be enabling and wealth-creating for countries that have wide access to them.

Such was the situation as it existed five years ago. What’s been happening since then? Do the statistics tell a different story now? Let’s take a look at some of them.

  • China’s Ministry of Information Industry says the mobile phone subscriber base in the country reached 320 million at the end of October 2004. The base increased at an average rate of 5.5 million per month all through 2004, and there are now 24.8 mobile phones for every 100 Chinese. Fixed-line connections are not far behind, having increased by 48 million to touch 310 million towards the end of 2004. That makes for a whopping 630 million telephone connections in China.
  • The Telecom Regulatory Authority of India puts the total telephone subscriber base in India at 92.76 million, end-2004. This is an increase of 31 percent over the previous year. The mobile base increased at a rate of 1.5-2 million per month for all of 2004, and is now pegged at 48 million.
  • The International Telecommunications Union (ITU) reports that global mobile phone subscriptions doubled over the last four years to reach 1.5 billion by the middle of 2004. With the subsequent increases in China and India alone, it’s fair to assume that around one-third of the world’s population now has a mobile phone. ITU also reports that the number of fixed lines worldwide has crossed 1.85 billion.
  • The Computer Industry Almanac estimates that the worldwide Internet population was 934 million in 2004. This is expected to increase to 1.07 billion in 2005, 1.21 billion in 2006 and 1.35 billion in 2007.
  • China Internet Network Information Centre reports that 94 million Chinese became Internet users by the end of 2004.
  • Indian software industry association Nasscom says that there will be 52.8 million Internet users in India by March 2005, estimated on a projected subscriber base of 6.6 million. Other sources put the end-2004 Internet user population of India at 37 million.

What all these indicative statistics point to is that ICT has expanded its reach at a pace that’s unprecedented in the history of the civilised world. Unlike the agricultural and industrial revolutions of the past, which took a relatively long time to increase their spheres of influence, the ICT revolution—if one is to consider access to the World Wide Web as a gauge—has been simply explosive. It took just four years for the Web to reach 50 million people once it was opened to the general public; the corresponding duration for the impact of the printing press was a century, while for radio it was 28 years, and for TV, 13.

Despite all this, the digital divide is no frivolous myth. Find out exactly why in Part II next time.

Val Souza, Consulting Editor

valsouza@expresscomputeronline.com

 


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