Issue dated - 17th May 2004

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Front Page > Stock File > Story Print this Page|  Email this page

Bull run hinges on election outcome

Deepak Sahijwala & Sanjay R Bhatia

The markets have continued to remain extremely volatile, see-sawing on cues generated by the different phases of exit polls. However, volumes continued to remain low and subdued. Traders and speculators were seen abstaining from taking major long positions. Incidentally, FIIs were net sellers during the course of the week and have remained indifferent to the Indian bourses due to uncertainty of the poll outcome. Moreover, mutual funds were also marginal net sellers but were seen supporting the markets at lower levels.

Technically, the markets would continue to remain volatile, but it is important that volumes pick up for any rally to be significant. Incidentally, market sentiment has improved on the back of the third exit polls and gains have been registered on the bourses. Now, it is important that the fourth stage exit polls are also positive followed by the actual results to be declared on May 13, for any rally to sustain, otherwise the markets could fall sharply. Meanwhile, the markets would continue to witness stock-specific action. Now, it is important that Sensex moves and sustains above the 5838 level for it to test the 5935 level. On downside, the 5521 level is likely to act as a crucial support level.

HCL Technologies

The HCL Tech stock has moved in a range of Rs 24.35, touching an intra-day low of

Rs 270.65 on May 3 and an intra-day high of Rs 295 on May 6. On the upside, it is likely face resistance at the Rs 294 level, if it moves and sustains above this level it is likely to test the Rs 310 level.

On the downside, the Rs 262 level is an important support level.

Infosys Technologies

Infosys has moved in a range of Rs 416.600, touching an intra-day low of Rs 5,071.10 on May 3 and an intra-day high of Rs 5,487.70 on May 6. On the upside it is likely to face resistance at the Rs 5,651 and later at the psychologically important Rs 6,000 level. On the downside the Rs 4,938 level is an important support level.

NIIT

NIIT has moved in a range of Rs 18, touching an intra-day low of Rs 156 on May 3 and an intra-day high of Rs 174 on May 6. On the upside, the Rs 204 level is likely to act as a resistance level. On the downside, the Rs 152 level is likely to act as an important support level.

Polaris Software

Polaris has moved in a range of Rs 31.30 touching an intra-day low of Rs 146.10 and an intra-day high of Rs 177.40 on the same day on May 3. On the upside, if Polaris moves and sustains above the Rs 201 level, then it is likely to test the Rs 211 level. On the downside, Rs 176 level is an important support level.

Satyam Computer

Satyam has moved in a range of Rs 25.50, touching an intra-day low of Rs 305.50 on May 3 and an intra-day high of Rs 331 on May 6. On the upside, it is likely to face resistance at the Rs 342 level. On the downside, the Rs 290 level is likely to act as an important support level.

Wipro

Wipro has moved in a range of Rs 100.90, touching an intra-day low of Rs 1,529.05 on May 3 and an intra-day high of

Rs 1,629.95 on May 6. On the upside, it is likely to face resistance at the Rs 1,632 level, and if it manages to move and sustain above this level it is likely to test the Rs 1,731 level. On the downside the Rs 1,360 level is an important support level.

Nasdaq  
The Nasdaq continues to languish below the 2000 level. The overall trend has continued to remain cautious on back of the Federal Reserve raising the interest rates. The Federal Reserve has not raised the interest rates and has indicated that the same would be raised in a steady manner. This is likely to see the Nasdaq rally. On the upside, if the Nasdaq moves and sustains above the 2000 level it is likely to test the 2050 level. On the downside, the 1994 level is likely to act as an important support level.  
 
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