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Consumer electronics opportunities for HDDs abound
Hard
disc drives (HDDs) are traditionally seen as storage devices that only the IT
industry uses. However, in recent years, more and more consumer electronic devices
come with in-built HDDs too. Pete Andreyev says that 2004 could be the year
when HDDs revolutionise a new generation of consumer electronic devices
For as long as Ive been in the storage industry, Ive envisioned
a time when hard disc drives would be fashioned into everyday consumer electronics
devices that enhance the quality of life. Despite many years of lying just beyond
the industrys reach, Ive steadfastly believed that someday the industry
would deliver products that would revolutionise a new generation of consumer
electronics.
Looking ahead to 2004, I believe that a number of factors are coming into play
that suggest someday is now. Specifically, shrinking form factors
to one-inch and smaller, massive multi-gigabyte capacities, and critical mass
manufacturing volumes now make hard discs a highly competitive alternative for
storing all ranges of media on consumer electronics devices. Already, about
10 percent of todays hard disc drive shipments are being used in consumer
electronics applications.
New devices
In Japan and Korea, a new generation of personal video recording devices already
equipped with hard-drive storage is bending television programming to the convenience
of the consumer. No longer must a family be home to watch a favourite show,
or risk missing a crucial moment for a quick dash to the kitchen for a snack.
In music, new MP3 players are available today, which redefine the boundaries
of portable music. Where early generations of MP3 players provided a few hours
of music, new devices can store entire libraries of music on tiny storage devices
such as a 1.8-inch, 20-gigabyte disc drive. Others will surely follow given
a total market potential that some analysts expect to grow from a base of 6.8
million units in 2002 to as many as 36 million units by 2007.
Video and music are just a start. Over the next several years, hard disc storage
has the opportunity to play a central role in a vast array of consumer electronics
devices, ranging from home security and maintenance applications, to personal
medical storage devices, to automotive navigational devices, to wearable memory
assistance devices, to virtual reality worlds on a life-size scale. These are
real opportunities, not pipe dreams.
Impact
The pan-Asian impact on this new consumer opportunity for the hard disc storage
industry will be threefold.
First, Asiaparticularly Japan, and increasingly Taiwan and Koreais
both the leading and traditional source of inspiration for new consumer electronics,
ahead of Europe and North America. Indeed, many Asia-based companies are worldwide
consumer electronics leaders for more than 40 years. New generations of hard
disc drives have the potential to unleash the regions creative potential.
Second, Asia has been and will continue to be a vital source of manufacturing
expertise both for finished consumer goods and for electronic components. Companies
with a stake in the global consumer electronics marketplace are increasing their
investment in manufacturing, particularly in China. Hitachi, for example, recently
announced that it is relocating a majority of its media productions from the
United States and Japan to China.
Third, all of Asiaand not just the mature economies of Japan, Korea, Taiwan,
Hong Kong and Singaporerepresents an enormous market opportunity for consumer
electronics products as economic growth increases the spending power of populations
eager to enhance family and personal life with affordable consumer electronics
devices.
Challenges ahoy
The consumer opportunity, however, does not come without challenges. It will
require that the hard-disc storage industry to be innovative in all that it
does.
First, the industry must continue to be innovative in how we solve engineering
challenges. Drives size must continue to shrink, and drive capacity must continue
to rise. These are familiar challenges for the industry, and weve made
significant advances in a very short time historically.
Second, our industry must be innovative in solving new engineering challenges
introduced by consumer expectations that are far different than those of our
traditional information-technology customers. We must understand, for example,
how ruggedness, acoustics, power consumption and other factors affect consumer
attitudes, and engineer our devices to meet new criteria for success.
Finally, we must innovate to meet new economic and organisational challenges.
Mass-scale commercial success in consumer electronics requires affordable prices.
Our industry is used to price competition, but our models are based on an IT
world where product life spans are as short as two years. Expectations are different
in consumer industries; some require the same product and part number to be
continuously available for 10 years. Our success as individual companies and
as an industry will be partly determined by our success in adjusting our business
models.
These are not easy challenges, but they are surmountable and worth attackingparticularly
given the consumer-electronics opportunity that lies at the industrys
feet. For as long as I have been in the hard-disc drive industry, its
an opportunity that has always been just out of reach. As we look ahead to 2004,
that is no longer true.
The author is vice president, Asia Pacific for Hitachi Global Storage Technologies.
He can be contacted at pete.andreyev@hgst.com
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