Issue dated - 02nd September 2002

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BSE Index faces resistance at 3100

Deepak Sahijwala & Sanjay R Bhatia

Volatile phase ahead

Deepak Sahijwala & Sanjay R Bhatia

The markets continued to move in a range-bound trend during the course of the week. Traders and speculators were active in index heavyweights, which helped the index post gains. Incidentally, FIIs have again turned net buyers on the bourses after a long time, buying into major index heavyweights and frontline tech stocks. Mutual funds, however, continued to be net sellers on the bourses to meet redemption pressures.

Technically, the markets continued to move in a range-bound manner amidst occasional volatility. Presently, the benchmark BSE Sensex continues to face stiff resistance at the 3100 mark as it faced selling pressure above this level. It is important that the benchmark Sensex moves above this level and sustains above it, initially for four trading days, followed by 12 trading days, for the market to indicate a bottoming out and a major rally to unfold. The positive development for the bourses, however, is that FIIs have turned net buyers, but they will have to continue to remain so for the markets to sustain a rally.

CMC
The CMC stock has moved in a range of Rs 86.55 during the course of the week, touching an intra-day low of

Rs 445.25 on August 16 and an intra-day high of Rs 531.80 on August 20. The stock has been able to stay above the crucial

Rs 445 level during the consolidation period, which has helped it post a rally. It is now closer to its resistance level of Rs 512, after which it faces resistance at the Rs 521 level and could face some selling pressure due to profit booking. If it is able to successfully cross these two levels, it could move closer to the Rs 550 level.

Digital GlobalSoft
The Digital stock has moved in a range of Rs 47.70 during the course of the week, touching an intra-day low of Rs 556.15 on August 16 and an intra-day high of Rs 603.85 on August 21. Even though the stock moved below the Rs 563 level, it was quick to bounce back above this level, which resulted in a minor rally. The present rally could take the Digital stock closer to the Rs 640 level.

HCL Technologies
The HCL Tech stock has moved in a range of Rs 29 during the course of the week, touching an intra-day low of Rs 186 on August 16 and an intra-day high of Rs 215 on August 21. The HCL Tech stock was able to stay above the Rs 174 level, and has been able to move above the

Rs 200 level too. Now however, it is likely to face selling pressure at higher levels for a few trading sessions, but may not fall below the Rs 189 level. On the upside, it is likely to face resistance at the Rs 217 level.

Infosys Technologies
The Infosys stock moved in a range of Rs 221.90 during the course of the week, touching an intra-day low of Rs 3,183.10 on August 16 and an intra-day high of Rs 3,405 on August 21. The rally on the Infosys stock continued and it was able to stay above the Rs 3,180 level. Infosys now faces resistance at the Rs 3,433 level; and if it is able to move above this level, it could rise closer to the Rs 3,544 level.

NIIT
The NIIT stock has moved in a range of Rs 28.25 during the course of the week, touching an intra-day low of Rs 133.35 on August 19 and an intra-day high of Rs 161.60 on August 21. The stock has been able to stay above the Rs 132 level, which augurs well for it. The stock is now likely to move in a range-bound manner for a few trading sessions till a clearer trend emerges.

Satyam Computers
The Satyam stock has continued to move in a narrow range of Rs 14.20 during the course of the week, touching an intra-day low of Rs 208.70 on August 16 and an intra-day high of Rs 222.90 on August 21. The stock was able to move above the Rs 215 level and has moved closer to the Rs 224 level. It could now cross the Rs 235 level, if it closes above Rs 223.

Wipro
The Wipro stock has moved in a range of Rs 137 during the course of the week, touching an intra-day low of Rs 1,102 on August 16 and an intra-day high of Rs 1,239 on August 21. The stock is likely to test the Rs 1,295 level in a few trading sessions.

View the STRATSTAR FUND WIZARD BUY/SELL REPORT FOR 26/08/2002

Nasdaq
Last week’s rally on the Nasdaq continued during the course of the week. The Nasdaq has been able to move above the 1350 resistance level, which is a positive sign and augurs well for the rally to continue. However, it is likely to face resistance at the 1466 level, and if it is able to move above this level it could cross the 1600 mark. Technically, it may be assumed that the worst is over for the Nasdaq, as velocity divergences clearly indicate a bottoming out.
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