Issue dated - 03rd June 2002

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Can Polaris pull off its ambitious growth gamble?

With the Polaris and Orbitech boards approving a proposed merger just a few days ago, the spotlight is on these companies, and especially on Polaris, which aims to beat industry growth rates by a huge margin, thanks to this deal and its inorganic growth strategy. Srikanth R P analyses Polaris’s plans and the deal

Govind Singhal and other Polaris head honchos are hoping the Orbitech-Polaris merger and the organic growth strategy will form a powerful combination to achieve massive growth

In the current Indian IT industry scenario where billing rates, margins and bloated egos have all come crashing down, the year ahead naturally seems to be one that bodes at best a cautious outlook, hoping the worst has

been left behind. So when Chennai-based Polaris Software said it was targeting a growth rate of 50 percent for fiscal year 2003 (and this with a fairly lacklustre performance in the last quarter), analysts were surprised, to say the least. Surprised, because in these times when most other Indian software companies are cautiously expecting growth rates to be in the range of 15-20 percent, Polaris aiming for 50 percent does seem a tad over-ambitious.

The company expects 17-25 percent growth to come from the organic route, and the rest from the inorganic route, i.e through acquisitions. A look at the strategy that Polaris is adopting throws up some interesting facts, which could serve as pointers to other Indian IT companies.

Inorganic boost
The critical element in the 50 percent growth plan is the inorganic growth strategy. Arun Jain, CEO of Polaris Software, had indicated earlier that Polaris would be looking at companies that have a good client base, cater to big projects but do not have a significant offshore capabilities. Now, with the Polaris board approving the proposal to merge with OrbiTech Solutions, the proposed merger would make the combined entity the fourth largest player in the banking and financial services and insurance (BFSI) segment, just behind leaders like TCS, Infosys and Satyam. Under the terms of the agreement, which has been approved by the boards of both companies, shareholders of OrbiTech will receive approximately 14 newly issued Polaris shares for every 25 shares held in OrbiTech. Polaris shareholders will own approximately 46 percent and OrbiTech shareholders will own 54 percent of the merged company. Analysts believe the acquisition of OrbiTech was a logical choice for Polaris since the company had around Rs 220 crore in revenues and the acquisition gives it the power to propel itself into the Big League.

Merger dynamics
OrbiTech is fully owned by Citibank Private Equity and derives most of its revenues from providing solutions to Citigroup. Citigroup owns close to 6.25 percent of Polaris and contributes around 35 percent of business to Polaris. While Polaris closed fiscal 2002 with a turnover of Rs 283 crore, Orbitech closed 2002 with a turnover of Rs 333 crore.

What does the merger hold for both companies? Explains Girish Pai, IT analyst, SSKI Securities, “We believe the merger would bring together organisations with domain skills (Orbitech) and offshore execution skills (Polaris). The increased credibility and deeper domain execution skills will help in winning new clients and drive revenues. Also, current market trends indicate that the business environment is improving through the BFSI space. The merged entity will be a beneficiary of this trend. We expect the merged entity to be a strong contender for the bigger RFPs (requests for proposals) being floated around.”

The merged entity would have a mammoth 85 percent exposure to the BFSI segment said to be the most stable, and of course, the biggest revenue segment for the Indian software industry. For instance, Infosys derives around 37 percent of revenues from this segment while Satyam derives 39 percent.

As OrbiTech has currently lesser exposure to external clients, the merger will help OrbiTech in applying its domain skills to a larger number of clients that Polaris has been successful in bagging. Also, analysts believe that the merged entity complement’s OrbiTech’s strengths in products and Polaris’s strengths in services. As the merged entity would have around 70 percent of revenues from the Citi group and around 5-10 percent of revenues from products, market sources believe the company has good growth prospects as it has the backing of a strong parent, similar to what is being enjoyed by Digital Globalsoft.

The other important aspect is the cultural synergy between the two companies. OrbiTech and Polaris have a long history of having worked together in their engagements with Citibank. Of the current 700 employees subcontracted by OrbiTech, around 400-500 are from Polaris. Adds C Govindarajan of Motilal Oswal Securities, “Polaris is believed to have co-developed a large number of OrbiTech’ s products, though the IPRs rest entirely with OrbiTech. IPR protection could be another indirect benefit of the merger.”

Another strong reason is the fact that Citigroup is said to be outsourcing services worth close to $250 million from India. It outsources its requirements to companies like TCS, i-flex, Orbitech, Polaris, Infosys, Silverline and Wipro. In addition, OrbiTech sub-contracts part of its work to Polaris. Polaris currently derives about 13 percent of its revenues from OrbiTech. A merged entity will simply mean that most of the orders will stay within the company instead of being sub-contracted to other entities as is being currently done.

For Polaris, in spite of the huge dependence on a single client, the risks are considerably lesser as Citigroup will be not only a client but also a strategic shareholder. The fly in the soup could be billing rates though. One of the biggest benefits to Citi from this deal could be the lower billing rates the global financial services will get thanks to the huge volume of business involved. The merged entity might face an uphill climb on this front. Yet, on the bright side, the large volumes do assure the merged entity a steady flow of revenues.

Organic route
Polaris has also made a tangible shift towards the offshore business model and this is witnessed by the fact that Polaris’s offshore centric revenues have grown by 45 percent to Rs 177 crore for the fiscal ended March 2002. Analysts believe this is a positive move from the company and a shift from the comparatively low value onsite business that the company was pursuing last year.

Says Govind Singhal, executive director, Polaris, “Polaris recognised the need to adapt to changing market requirements and has displayed greater clarity to shift some of its services to major clients, moving from the onsite model to the offshore outsourcing model. This shifting pattern is also an appreciation of the value proposition that outsourcing offers. Going forward, we remain confident that offshore-centric relationships are stocked with tremendous business potential, providing enough scope in the long run, both in terms of volume and returns.” This move has also given the company an improvement in its operating margins.

While the company expects services to contribute in a major way to revenues, it is also extremely bullish on its product called BankWare. The company anticipates product revenues through BankWare to be close to Rs 20 crore in the coming fiscal year, up from Rs 5 crore. As the current base is small, analysts believe that the growth targeted is eminently achievable. But concerns still persist on the long term growth of the product, as the banking products space is dominated by biggies like Infosys, i-flex and TCS.

But analysts believe one main reason for the optimistic growth projections is the impressive addition of clients. Says Shekhar Singh, IT analyst, Prabhudas Lilladher Securities, “The fact that the company has been able to add reputed clients like UBS, AIG, CommerzBank, Snecma Motors, Keycorp and Honeywell in the past few months in tough times speaks a lot of the management of the company.” Analysts believe that the Snecma Motors order and the contract for implementing a BAAN solution for Honeywell is a recognition of Polaris’s ability in becoming one of the preferred global outsourcing partners from the Indian region.

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