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04th March 2002

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Markets prepare for B-day

Deepak Sahijwala & Sanjay R. Bhatia

Buying in PSU and old economy stocks lifted the benchmark at BSE Sensex to a high of 3,652.76 on 19th February. However, profit booking at these levels by Indian institutions on the PSU sector eroded the gains with the index touching an intra-day low of 3,542.06 the next day. Incidentally, the weakness reflected by the NASDAQ did not go well with Indian IT stocks, as they remained subdued and traded listlessly. Second rung tech counters however, outperformed frontline infotech stocks.

Technically, the recent correction is healthy for the markets and augurs well for the near future perhaps post-budget. Although, the markets continue to display bullish signals, the BSE Sensex has given a minor divergence on the daily charts and there is every possibility of another correction of around 100 points, which could take the markets below the 3,500 level. This could happen after a brief rally but before the announcement of the budget, since the weekly charts continue to emit bullish signals. Infotech counters are likely to remain volatile in the coming days.

CMC

The consolidation phase for the stock continued during the course of the week. It moved in a range of Rs 30, touching an intra-day high of Rs 395 on 18th February and an intra-day low of Rs 365.20 on 20th February. The stock could see a fall during this consolidation phase. On the downside, its minor and major support levels are placed at Rs 288 and Rs 207.

Digital Globalsoft

As indicated last week, the Digital stock moved southwards touching an intra-day low of Rs 565.10 on 20th February. The stock continues to display weakness on the daily and weekly charts and we could see a fall of Rs 200 or more in the near future. Though the initial fall may not be sharp, it should gather momentum later.

HCL Technologies

Persistent weakness on the HCL stock has taken it below the 200 day moving average, as we had indicated in our last issue. The general weakness on the NASDAQ and resultant weakness on Indian IT stocks has taken a toll on this stock too. The stock could see a further downfall and should find support at the Rs 221 level.

Infosys

As indicated, the correction continued on the stock and it could fall below its 200-day moving average in the next few trading sessions. It moved in a narrow range of Rs 207, touching an intra-day high of Rs 3,818 and low of Rs 3,611. The downfall in the Infosys stock will continue and we could see a fall of Rs 500-800 in the near future. The stock could find support at the Rs 3,228 or Rs 2,785 levels before turning bullish again.

NIIT

The sideways movement continued on the NIIT stock during the course of this week. The stock moved in a narrow range of Rs 21.05 touching an intra-day high of Rs 247.70 and intra-day low of Rs 226.65. The stock is on the threshold of moving above its 200-day moving average, and any closing above this level should result in a sharp rally on the counter.

Satyam Computers

The Satyam stock remained subdued after last week’s firmness. The stock moved in a very narrow range of Rs 15.15 during the course of the week. It touched an intra-day high of Rs 292.15 and an intra-day low of Rs 277. The stock is showing signs of exhaustion and needs a trigger for an uptrend. Till such time, the stock is likely to move in a narrow range.

Wipro

The stock continued to move in a narrow band of Rs 90 after touching an intra-day high of Rs 1,699 on 19th February and intra-day low of Rs 1,608.35 on 20th February. This movement is likely to continue in the near future and the stock will remain range-bound.

Nasdaq

The NASDAQ continues to stay below its 200 day moving average, reflecting signs of weakness on fresh worries of ‘earnings warnings’. It is most likely to find support at 1,706. As we had indicated, it is important that it moves above the 1970 level to show any change in its trend. Till this level is attained, the NASDAQ will move in range-bound manner.

STRATSTAR FUND WIZARD

BUY/SELL REPORT FOR 25/02/2002

Scrip

Current Signal

Last Signal

Open Position

Rise/
Profit

Stop Loss

Remark

Indices

Date

Price

Indicator

Date

Price

Indicator

 

(%)

   

BSE SENSEX

22/02/2002

3604.08

 

8/1/02

3437.78

BUY

166.3

 

3430.64

 

S&P CNX NIFTY

22/02/2002

1163.5

 

27/12/2001

1020

BUY

143.5

14.07

1103.55

(r)

NASDAQ

21/02/2002

1716.24

 

18/01/2002

1930.34

SELL

214.1

11.09

1914.67

(r)

Infotech Stocks

                   

CMC

22/02/2002

367.1

 

19/02/2002

374.4

SELL

7.3

 

382.98

 

DIGITAL EQUIP.

22/02/2002

565.25

 

19/02/2002

574.15

SELL

8.9

 

583.45

 

DSQ SOFTWARE

22/02/2002

42.1

 

8/1/02

57.4

SELL

15.3

26.66

50.14

(r)(r)

HCL INFOSYSTEMS

22/02/2002

112.4

 

14/02/2002

109.35

BUY

3.05

 

96.79

 

HCL TECHNOLOGIES

22/02/2002

255.65

 

20/02/2002

254.9

SELL

-0.75

 

263.21

 

HUGHES SOFTWARE

22/02/2002

346.95

 

31/12/2001

293.3

BUY

53.65

18.29

320.65

(r)

INFOSYS TECH.

22/02/2002

3717.15

 

19/02/2002

3701.9

SELL

-15.25

 

3746.15

 

MASTEK

22/02/2002

300.45

 

8/2/02

266.05

BUY

34.4

12.93

283.27

(r)

NIIT

22/02/2002

229.75

 

12/2/02

234.65

BUY

-4.9

 

232.89

 

PENTAFOUR SOFTWARE

22/02/2002

62.3

 

20/02/2002

62.55

SELL

0.25

 

65.17

 

POLARIS SOFTWARE

22/02/2002

188.5

 

21/02/2002

190

SELL

1.5

 

192.74

 

PSI DATASYSTEMS

22/02/2002

109.65

 

5/2/02

117.95

SELL

8.3

 

118.3

 

ROLTA

22/02/2002

104.9

 

7/2/02

110.95

SELL

6.05

 

110.44

 

SATYAM COMPUTERS

22/02/2002

278.05

 

15/11/2001

177.5

BUY

100.55

56.65

265.46

(r)(r)(r)(r)(r)

SILVERLINE INDUSTRIE

22/02/2002

57.95

 

24/01/2002

62.1

SELL

4.15

 

57.58

 

SONATA SOFTWARE

22/02/2002

13.1

 

11/1/02

15.1

SELL

2

13.25

14.66

(r)

SSI

22/02/2002

203.5

 

6/2/02

221.7

BUY

-18.2

 

203.35

 

TATA ELXSI

22/02/2002

84.8

 

6/2/02

63.7

BUY

21.1

33.12

68.47

(r)(r)(r)

WIPRO

22/02/2002

1650.7

BUY

21/02/2002

1614.15

SELL

-36.55

 

1632.23

WHIPSAW

Note : The above stock picks based purely on Technical Analysis are generated by Stratstar Systems’ Genius Trader, India’s First Automated Trading System and have proved consistently and considerably reliable. This is perhaps the only trading system in the world that on the basis of more than 18,600 mathematical formulae, can not only identify primary trends, but also market cycles and automatically switch into tandem when trend changes occur, recomputing calculations to finally generate, what could be simply identified as ‘BUY’ or ‘SELL’ signals. Importantly, unlike other available software that allow applicability of a host of technical studies and tools, but depends on an analyst for interpretation STRATSTAR comes with a feature that self interprets and reflects the final interpretation to be acted upon. Stratstar Systems does not accept responsibility for any investment decisions taken on the basis of information provided herein. The objective is to keep investors better informed and help decide for themselves as the information given above is only of an advisory nature.

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